Did the Cold War really end or did the press become too complacent/ignorant/foolish not to see signs of the opposite
Like in the previous war in Georgia the Russian govt cannot be trusted especially in the media
outlets who are currently sending troops while pretending nothing happens. These troops as
a military strategist would imagine somehow 'accidently' leave there bases and make a 'defensive perimeter'
or even conduct offensive operations against perceived opponent pre-emptively. Also now knowing
the American military is closely watching signals traffic the Russians may then use other ways
of conferring information that are not so easy to detect making a major military operation
quite easily done without the West even knowing it...
Russia is cleverly putting on a smokescreen while it quietly occupies strategic points in the Ukraine
to give it a upper hand should a spetznaz black op may have unintended consequences....
(notice the Russian army units lack markings which is evident some level of deception is involved
clever military strategists would say that would be a great way to increase your numbers of special forces
in regular infantry without the media even knowing like in Gerogia and no rank either strange.)
If the Budapest agreement ends the Cold War begins again in earnest. The Russians
obviously don't see what there doing at present as US bombers may start doing the
Arctic runs again...which ended by SAC in 1991 ironically.
A treaty signed in 1994 by the US and Britain could pull both countries into a war to protect Ukraine if President Putin's troops cross into the country.
Bill Clinton, John Major, Boris Yeltsin and Leonid Kuchma – the then-rulers of the USA, UK, Russia and Ukraine - agreed to the The Budapest Memorandum as part of the denuclearization of former Soviet republics after the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
Technically it means that if Russia has invaded Ukraine then it would be difficult for the US and Britain to avoid going to war.
Putin installed 150,000 troops along Ukraine's borders after the overthrow of Moscow ally Viktor Yanukovych by pro-European protesters.
On Friday, as pro-Russia gunmen patrolled Crimean streets in armored vehicles and took over airports there, President Obama delivered a blunt warnings to Moscow.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...#ixzz2uf05jqHK
In a military context, traffic analysis is a basic part of signals intelligence, and can be a source of information about the intentions and actions of the enemy.
Representative patterns include:
Able Archer 2014.
Frequent communications — can denote planning
Rapid, short, communications — can denote negotiations
A lack of communication — can indicate a lack of activity, or completion of a finalized plan
Frequent communication to specific stations from a central station — can highlight the chain of command
Who talks to whom — can indicate which stations are 'in charge' or the 'control station' of a particular network. This further implies something about the personnel associated with each station
Who talks when — can indicate which stations are active in connection with events, which implies something about the information being passed and perhaps something about the personnel/access of those associated with some stations
Who changes from station to station, or medium to medium — can indicate movement, fear of interception
'Towards a genuine partnership in a new area'- looks like we've been sold a fresh load of bull****.
The spread of freedoms has been accompanied by new conflicts and the revival of old ones.
Warfare in the CSCE region to achieve hegemony and territorial expansion continues to occur.
Human rights and fundamental freedoms are still flouted, intolerance persists and discrimination
against minorities is practised. The plagues of aggressive nationalism, racism, chauvinism,
xenophobia, anti-semitism and ethnic tension are still widespread. Along with social and economic
instability, they are among the main sources of crisis, loss of life and human misery. They reflect
failure to apply the CSCE principles and commitments. This situation requires our resolute action.
We must work together to ensure full respect for these principles and commitments as well as
effective solidarity and co-operation to relieve suffering
I thought the Coast Guard was under Ukrainian control not by the Russian Marines.
This could get worse.
Around 30 Russian marines surrounded the coast guard base in the Crimean city of Sevastopol on Friday, according to a statement by the Ukraine's state border guard.
The statement, reported by The Associated Press, said the marines were paratroopers from the 810th brigade of Russia's Black Sea fleet and quoted them as saying they were there to prevent extremists seizing the base's weapons.
The Russian defense ministry in Moscow did not comment, according to the AP.
Russia and the west are on a collision course over Crimea after Moscow was accused of orchestrating a "military invasion and occupation" of the peninsula, as groups of apparently pro-Russian armed men seized control of two airports. Russian troop movements were reported across the territory.
One Ukrainian official claimed late on Friday that 2,000 Russian troops had arrived in Crimea during the course of the day, in 13 Russian aircraft.
Ukraine's acting president, Oleksandr Turchynov, addressed the nation and accused Russia of carrying out a similar strategy to 2008, when it in effect annexed two Georgian territories, Abkhazia and South Ossetia. "They are trying to provoke a military conflict and are creating a scenario identical to the Abkhaz one, when having provoked a conflict, they annexed territory," he said.
You would not thinking the Russians would not put up fighter cover for transport planes landing at particular airfields..
No second cold war- maybe thats classic Eastern European for double-speak.
Putin's macho image should not deceive us; neither should his statements lamenting the end of the Soviet Union (those keen to take his word for it should try to reconcile their literalism with their usual insistence that he is a deceitful scion of the KGB). The best analogy for him is not a post-1945 cold war warrior but a pre-1917 national imperialist. Quite plausibly, he would like to see himself as reviving Russia's greatness without actually relapsing into a cold war which, after all, he witnessed Russia lose. This makes Ukraine even more important for him because he perceives it not simply as part of the short-lived Soviet experiment, but of either Russia, or Russia's Huntingtonian zone of civilisational hegemony. That is wrong too, but the problem is Putin thinks he is right.
There are no simple solutions. Western warnings to Putin are necessary. But if they come without any face-saving offers, they will be worse than useless. Moreover, those urging the west to scare the imperialism out of Russia should also warn the new Ukrainian leadership that, while Crimea is indeed Ukrainian, restraint is urgently needed.
Russia Eastern Europe stand-over tactics will backfire badly. I wonder if they know other military personnel could be reading what he
says and respond likewise. Pravda televising threats live from Moscow. Cold War it is.
Tactical nuclear weapons that are constantly threatening the United States must become the factor that will deter large-scale aggression. Holding it at gunpoint - this is the deterrent," General Colonel in reserve, MGIMO Professor, Leonid Ivashov, said in an interview with Pravda.Ru editor-in-chief Inna Novikova.